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African Security Analysis

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Security Analysis and Consultancy for Public, Private and Government Sectors.

Guinea, DRC, Kenya - 30 jan. 2026 United States–Africa: Washington Prepares a Strategic Summit on Critical Minerals
DRC, Egypt - 29 jan. 2026 DRC–Egypt Defence Axis: Kinshasa Deepens Strategic Military Partnerships Amid Accelerating Security Pressures
Egypt, Ethiopia - 24 jan. 2026 Egypt–Ethiopia: Nile Talks Reopen as Sisi Signals Openness to U.S. Mediation
Niger, Nigeria - 24 jan. 2026 Lake Chad Border Clash
Nigeria - 23 jan. 2026 Nigeria Under Pressure: ISWAP Pushback in Sambisa Meets Deadly Counterstrike and Expanding Internal Insecurity
South Sudan - 23 jan. 2026 South Sudan: Battlefield Momentum Meets Political Rupture as Peace Deal Frays
Guinea, DRC, Kenya - 30 jan. 2026 United States–Africa: Washington Prepares a Strategic Summit on Critical Minerals
DRC, Egypt - 29 jan. 2026 DRC–Egypt Defence Axis: Kinshasa Deepens Strategic Military Partnerships Amid Accelerating Security Pressures
Egypt, Ethiopia - 24 jan. 2026 Egypt–Ethiopia: Nile Talks Reopen as Sisi Signals Openness to U.S. Mediation
Niger, Nigeria - 24 jan. 2026 Lake Chad Border Clash
Nigeria - 23 jan. 2026 Nigeria Under Pressure: ISWAP Pushback in Sambisa Meets Deadly Counterstrike and Expanding Internal Insecurity
South Sudan - 23 jan. 2026 South Sudan: Battlefield Momentum Meets Political Rupture as Peace Deal Frays
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Security Updates

Guinea, DRC, Kenya 30 jan. 2026 13:35

United States–Africa: Washington Prepares a Strategic Summit on Critical Minerals

On 4 February, the United States will convene a ministerial-level summit on critical minerals with several African countries, including the DRC, Kenya, and Guinea.

DRC, Egypt 29 jan. 2026 17:06

DRC–Egypt Defence Axis: Kinshasa Deepens Strategic Military Partnerships Amid Accelerating Security Pressures

Kinshasa and Cairo have entered a new phase of strategic military cooperation at a time when Africa’s security environment is marked by persistent asymmetric threats, regional destabilization, and intensified competition for influence.

Egypt, Ethiopia 24 jan. 2026 16:31

Egypt–Ethiopia: Nile Talks Reopen as Sisi Signals Openness to U.S. Mediation

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said he welcomes an offer by U.S. President Donald Trump to mediate the long-running dispute over Nile waters between Egypt and Ethiopia.

Niger, Nigeria 24 jan. 2026 09:50

Lake Chad Border Clash

A renewed, high-intensity armed clash between ISWAP elements and fighters aligned with the “Bukura” faction loyal to Abu Umaima along the Lake Chad Basin border axis in Abadam LGA (Borno State), near Dogon Chiku Buhari—a settlement assessed to be within ~1 km of the Nigeria–Niger frontier.

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Because knowing early changes everything

In fast-moving security environments, early knowledge is the decisive advantage. ASA specialises in identifying emerging risks, detecting patterns, and accessing ground-level intelligence through an extensive human-source network operating across political, military, civil, and conflict-affected environments. This enables us to understand what is happening, often before it happens.

Our presence in nine countries, combined with over 20 years of continuous engagement across Africa, gives us direct access to key actors and reliable field sources. We produce strategic forecasts, timely analysis, and Early Warnings that highlight imminent threats and critical shifts in the security landscape.

For organisations, companies, and governments, receiving accurate intelligence before others do can mean the difference between reacting and preparing. ASA delivers the insight you need at the moment it matters most. Because knowing early truly changes everything.

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ASA Situation Reports

Egypt, Algeria, Ethiopia, Kenya, South Africa, Angola, DRC, Cameroon, Nigeria, Ghana 30 jan. 2026 13:30

China–Africa Financial Relations Enter a Historic Reversal

Africa’s financial relationship with China has entered a new phase: net debt-related flows have turned negative—meaning African countries now pay more to China in principal and interest than they receive in new Chinese loan disbursements, according to ONE Data’s net-transfer analysis.

Morocco, Algeria, Mauritania 30 jan. 2026 13:24

Western Sahara at a Strategic Crossroads

As Morocco Fails to Deliver a Credible Autonomy Plan, Washington May Impose a U.S.-Shaped Self-Determination Framework

Zambia, Tanzania, DRC, Angola 30 jan. 2026 13:07

Pay to Access | Zambia’s Ascending Role in the New Infrastructure and Influence Competition in Central & Southern Africa

Africa’s economic map is shifting. Two major transport corridors — Lobito to the Atlantic and Dar-es-Salaam to the Indian Ocean — are becoming central to the global energy transition.

Morocco, Algeria 28 jan. 2026 07:41

Morocco: Evaluating a K2 Black Panther Acquisition to Rebalance Armoured Power

Morocco is assessing the potential acquisition of up to 400 K2 Black Panther main battle tanks from South Korea, a move that would represent one of the most ambitious armoured modernization reviews considered by a North African army in recent years.

Kenya, Ethiopia, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda 27 jan. 2026 09:49

East Africa Emerges as Africa’s Growth Powerhouse in 2026 — Drivers, Divergences, and Strategic Implications

As the global economy continues to navigate post-pandemic fragmentation, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical realignments, East Africa is consolidating its position as the continent’s primary growth engine.

Kenya 26 jan. 2026 10:06

Kenya: State Pipeline Giant Heads to Market in a Landmark Privatization Push

Kenya has launched one of the most consequential capital-markets operations in its history with the planned listing of Kenya Pipeline Company. Announced by President William Ruto, the transaction involves the sale of 65% of the company’s equity, targeting KES 106.3 billion.

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Important decisions demand solid foundations, and that's what we provide. Over the years, we've earned the trust of current, former, and even aspiring presidents, alongside high-ranking military officials, CEOs, and NGOs— something we are deeply proud of.

As trusted advisors and analysts, we offer the critical insights and understanding these leaders need to navigate complex security environments. Through long-standing personal relationships, we've supported them for years, ensuring they have the right information to make informed and impactful decisions when it matters most.

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