
African Security Analysis
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Security Updates
United States–Africa: Washington Prepares a Strategic Summit on Critical Minerals
On 4 February, the United States will convene a ministerial-level summit on critical minerals with several African countries, including the DRC, Kenya, and Guinea.
DRC–Egypt Defence Axis: Kinshasa Deepens Strategic Military Partnerships Amid Accelerating Security Pressures
Kinshasa and Cairo have entered a new phase of strategic military cooperation at a time when Africa’s security environment is marked by persistent asymmetric threats, regional destabilization, and intensified competition for influence.
Egypt–Ethiopia: Nile Talks Reopen as Sisi Signals Openness to U.S. Mediation
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said he welcomes an offer by U.S. President Donald Trump to mediate the long-running dispute over Nile waters between Egypt and Ethiopia.
Lake Chad Border Clash
A renewed, high-intensity armed clash between ISWAP elements and fighters aligned with the “Bukura” faction loyal to Abu Umaima along the Lake Chad Basin border axis in Abadam LGA (Borno State), near Dogon Chiku Buhari—a settlement assessed to be within ~1 km of the Nigeria–Niger frontier.
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China–Africa Financial Relations Enter a Historic Reversal
Africa’s financial relationship with China has entered a new phase: net debt-related flows have turned negative—meaning African countries now pay more to China in principal and interest than they receive in new Chinese loan disbursements, according to ONE Data’s net-transfer analysis.
Western Sahara at a Strategic Crossroads
As Morocco Fails to Deliver a Credible Autonomy Plan, Washington May Impose a U.S.-Shaped Self-Determination Framework
Pay to Access | Zambia’s Ascending Role in the New Infrastructure and Influence Competition in Central & Southern Africa
Africa’s economic map is shifting. Two major transport corridors — Lobito to the Atlantic and Dar-es-Salaam to the Indian Ocean — are becoming central to the global energy transition.
Morocco: Evaluating a K2 Black Panther Acquisition to Rebalance Armoured Power
Morocco is assessing the potential acquisition of up to 400 K2 Black Panther main battle tanks from South Korea, a move that would represent one of the most ambitious armoured modernization reviews considered by a North African army in recent years.
East Africa Emerges as Africa’s Growth Powerhouse in 2026 — Drivers, Divergences, and Strategic Implications
As the global economy continues to navigate post-pandemic fragmentation, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical realignments, East Africa is consolidating its position as the continent’s primary growth engine.
Kenya: State Pipeline Giant Heads to Market in a Landmark Privatization Push
Kenya has launched one of the most consequential capital-markets operations in its history with the planned listing of Kenya Pipeline Company. Announced by President William Ruto, the transaction involves the sale of 65% of the company’s equity, targeting KES 106.3 billion.

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